Thunderstorm & Flood Risk July 18-19, 2025

⚠️ Flood & Thunderstorm Risk – Shenandoah Valley ⚠️

Heads up, Grottoes!

We’ve received updated weather risk information from Dominion Energy, and it’s important to stay alert this weekend.

🌧️ Flash Flooding:

Our entire region is under an elevated flash flood risk this afternoon and evening, with the Shenandoah Valley at the highest risk (Level 3 of 4). A stalled front is funneling in moisture, setting the stage for heavy downpours of 1–2 inches per hour, with some spots possibly seeing 3–4 inches/hour.

➡️ Localized rainfall totals of 4–7 inches are possible

➡️ There’s a 40% chance of a 100-year rainfall event in our area

⚠️ Flooding is likely where storms train or repeat over the same area.

🌩️ Thunderstorm Threat:

Isolated storms could begin around 2:00 PM, expanding into the evening.

⏰ Highest concern: 4:00 PM – 9:00 PM

➡️ 15% chance of strong storm impacts including:

Frequent lightning ⚡

Isolated 55–65 mph wind gusts 🌬️

⛈️ Storms may return Saturday afternoon and evening with similar timing and risks, including a continued flash flood threat and strong wind gusts.

Sunday’s storms look more isolated, mainly near and south of I-64 in the early evening.

☀️ Some drier days are expected next week — but stay weather-aware until then!

📲 Have multiple ways to receive warnings and never drive through flooded roads.

🔗 Information provided by Dominion Energy. Town of Grottoes is sharing so we can try keeping our residents informed.

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